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Ten Year Review – 2019

We still have a year to go to finish this decade, but we see quite a few reviews about investing in the last 10 years. Your results obviously will be varied depending how and what you invest in.

The Globe and Mail published a report on December 20th by Tim Shufelt “This just wasn’t your decade, Canadian stock market.” “The S&P/TSX Composite Index posted an average annual gain of 3.9 per cent for the 10 years to Dec. 20, a lacklustre result in a decade of steady, if slow, global economic growth.”

  That got me thinking and reviewing how our portfolio performed. And how did you do?

 The TSX in 2009 consisted of the following sectors and percentages of the total index. The second number is how it is currently:

 Health Care 2.5%, / 1.5%

Real Estate 1.2% / 4.1%

Tech 3.4% / 5.4%

Cummun. Services 5.5% / 5.5%

Utilities 1.2% / 5.6%

Consumer 5.6% / 9.9%

Industrials 7% / 11.2%

Resources 45.5% / 26.1%

Financials 29.2% / 30.8%

For those who invest in TSX ETF’s this would be the return they would have had. Therefore, I believe that diversification just for the sake of diversification doesn’t accomplish much. The resource sector particularly is too volatile for buy and hold investors. Based on the above list, we see that Real Estate, Tech, Utilities, Consumer, and Industrial sectors had good runs. Financials were steady. There was also a list in the article of the top ten performers for the decade that had total returns of 600 to 3600 %. If we had crystal balls those are the ones we should have had in our portfolios. But for most of us we’re lucky to get one of those occasionally. (I have none)

But our investment strategy is first to create dividend income that at least keeps up with inflation. Secondly if you own good companies they will also rise over time. This creates a more stable, less volatile performance over time. When reaching the goal of living off dividends this is an important issue for us.

And so far, this strategy is working very well. Over the last 10 years, we have grown our dividends by 13.6% annually on average, and total portfolio growth was 15.5% annually. The dividend growth rate is certainly slowing down now as we no longer re-invest them. But we still had a 5% gain in our dividends this year.

I want to encourage everyone that has not done so yet, open a self-directed account and invest yourself. Stop paying fees to advisors for something you can do better yourself. There is so much information on the web to help you along the way. You just need to be able to discern what’s applicable.

Leave a comment please if you have something you agree or disagree with.

This Post Has 2 Comments

  1. admin

    Thanks Walt, good to see your comment.

  2. Walt Lawrence

    Good evening Arnold,

    Always good to catch up. Really appreciate your approach to investing.

    Thanks so much for sharing your insight and wisdom.

    Walt

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